Georgia Senate margin of victory
42.6 pts (24h)One-OffPolitiquePolitique américaineÉlectionÉlections de mi-mandat américaines 202612mois
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
Ossoff, 11+ pts · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Ossoff, 11+ pts 99.8%En tête parmi 27 options
Ossoff, 11+ pts 99.8%Qualité du marché
≤74 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
442,1 k €
Intérêt ouvert
532,6 k $US
Intérêt ouvert élevéAchat / Vente
— / —
Ossoff, 11+ ptsÉcart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 20 minutes
23 oct. 26, 03:19 UTC3 nov. 27, 15:00 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Ossoff, 11+ pts
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
If the Democratic Party wins the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia by 18 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Georgia Secretary of State
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If the Democratic Party runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural the Democratic Party will be summed. If the Democratic Party wins the election, the margin will be positive. If the Democratic Party loses the election, the margin will be negative. If the Democratic Party ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where the Democratic Party is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).
Règles de chaque résultat
- Ossoff, 11+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia by 11 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ossoff, 5+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ossoff, 10+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia by 10 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ossoff, 13+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia by 13 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ossoff, 2+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ossoff, 4+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ossoff, 9+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia by 9 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ossoff, 8+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia by 8 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ossoff, 6+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia by 6 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ossoff, 12.5+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia by 12.5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ossoff, 12+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia by 12 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ossoff, 8.5+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia by 8.5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ossoff, 10.5+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia by 10.5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ossoff, 14+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia by 14 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ossoff, 11.5+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia by 11.5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ossoff, 3+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ossoff, 7+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia by 7 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ossoff, 15+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia by 15 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ossoff, 9.5+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia by 9.5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ossoff, 13.5+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia by 13.5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ossoff, 16+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia by 16 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ossoff, 17+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia by 17 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ossoff, 19+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia by 19 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ossoff, 18+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia by 18 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ossoff, 20+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia by 20 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ossoff, 21+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia by 21 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ossoff, 22+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia by 22 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
