KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Ossoff, 2+ pts 94%+3.8ptEn tête parmi 9 options
Qualité du marché
53 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
6,8 k €
Liquidité
24,6 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
8.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
28 avr. 26, 01:02 UTC3 nov. 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
If the Democratic Party wins the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsKALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.5%
- Gavin Newsom14.4%
+45 résultats de plus
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- Volume 24h
- 1,1 M €
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POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.6pt37%
- Édouard Philippe25%
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KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt89.1%
- Republican Party-1.0pt10.9%
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KALSHI2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- J.D. Vance+1.0pt23%
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Georgia Senate margin of victory ?
- Kalshi cote Ossoff, 2+ pts à 94% au 18 septembre 2026.
- Quand Georgia Senate margin of victory sera-t-il résolu ?
- Georgia Senate margin of victory doit être résolu le 3 novembre 2027.
- Comment Georgia Senate margin of victory est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the Democratic Party wins the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.