KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Democrats, 15+ pts 88%En tête parmi 9 options
Qualité du marché
32 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Liquidité
21,5 €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
6.8 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
5 mai 26, 20:23 UTC3 nov. 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Massachusetts's 1st District by 12 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Massachusetts's 1st District margin of victory ?
- Kalshi cote Democrats, 15+ pts à 88% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Massachusetts's 1st District margin of victory sera-t-il résolu ?
- Massachusetts's 1st District margin of victory doit être résolu le 3 novembre 2027.
- Comment Massachusetts's 1st District margin of victory est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Massachusetts's 1st District by 12 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.