KalshiFerméVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréCe marché est fermé et en attente d'une résolution confirmée.
En attente d'une résolution vérifiée
CoinRithm attend un règlement confirmé par le fournisseur avant de traiter ce marché comme résolu.
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Before Nov 7, 2026 4%En tête parmi 3 options
Before Nov 7, 2026 4%Qualité du marché
32 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Intérêt ouvert
9,6 k $US
Intérêt ouvert moyenDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
11 août 26, 00:41 UTC1 sept. 26, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Before Nov 7, 20264%
Before Sep 1, 2026Perdu
Before Oct 1, 2026Perdu
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Christopher Luxon still be Prime Minister of New Zealand when the 2026 general election is held?
Manifold MarketsAndy Burnham announces departure as Prime Minister?
KalshiSébastien Lecornu announces departure as Prime Minister of France?
KalshiJeanine Pirro announces departure as D.C. U.S. Attorney?
KalshiChris Luxon NZ Prime Minister on 1 Feb 2027?
Manifold MarketsChris Luxon NZ Prime Minister on 1 Feb 2027?
Manifold MarketsRègles
La règle exacte de ce résultat n'est pas disponible.
Règlement via:Christopher LuxonThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersDepartment of the Prime Minister and Cabinet (New Zealand)CNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Before Nov 7, 2026
- If Christopher Luxon leaves as Prime Minister of New Zealand before Nov 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Sep 1, 2026
- If Christopher Luxon leaves as Prime Minister of New Zealand before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2026
- If Christopher Luxon leaves as Prime Minister of New Zealand before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
