KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 84%
Qualité du marché
46 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
177,1 €
Liquidité
177,1 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
10.0% / 16.0%
Écart
6.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
1 sept. 26, 14:00 UTC1 oct. 26, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will any member of Congress be expelled in 2026?
KalshiWill another member of the U.S Congress be expelled before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill a GOP member of Congress call for Trump's impeachment?
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KalshiWill a member of Congress or a federal judge be arrested and held without bail?
Manifold MarketsWill Ilhan Omar be a Member of Congress at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If any member of Congress resigns or is expelled as any member of Congress in Sep 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:The Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- any member of Congress must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will a member of Congress resign or be expelled in Sep 2026? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 84% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will a member of Congress resign or be expelled in Sep 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will a member of Congress resign or be expelled in Sep 2026? doit être résolu le 1 octobre 2026.
- Comment Will a member of Congress resign or be expelled in Sep 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If any member of Congress resigns or is expelled as any member of Congress in Sep 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.