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Données au 27 oct. 2026, 15:06 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Milieu du carnet sélectionné
Roger Williams · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Roger Williams 45.6%En tête parmi 10 options
Roger Williams 45.6%Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Intérêt ouvert
7,1 k $US
Intérêt ouvert moyenAchat / Vente
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Roger WilliamsÉcart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 21 minutes
10 mai 25, 14:00 UTC31 déc. 26, 15:00 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Roger Williams
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will any member of Congress be expelled in 2026?
KalshiWill a member of Congress resign or be expelled in Oct 2026?
KalshiWill a GOP member of Congress call for Trump's impeachment?
KalshiWill Ilhan Omar be a Member of Congress at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a death of more than one member of Congress in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill another member of the U.S Congress be expelled before 2030?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If Roger Williams is the person in Congress that has the highest return on their assets in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Underlying for this Contract is the identity of the member of Congress with the greatest percent difference in the value of their assets in their end of year report for 2025 compared to the previous year (2025 value minus the previous year's value, all divided by the previous year's value, times one hundred). This will be calculated using Congress' annual personal financial disclosures (OGE Form 278e). Because each asset is given as a range of values in the disclosures, we use the midpoint of each range as an estimated value for that asset. The midpoint is calculated by taking the lower bound of the reported range plus the upper bound, and dividing by two. For example, if an asset is reported in the $15,001 – $50,000 range, the midpoint used would be $32,500.5 (the average of 15,001 and 50,000). In cases where the disclosure uses an open-ended top category (for instance, some forms list "Over $50,000,000" as the highest category for an asset value, with no upper limit), we will assign a value of $50,000,001 for that asset.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Roger Williams
- If Roger Williams is the person in Congress that has the highest return on their assets in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Susan Collins
- If Susan Collins is the person in Congress that has the highest return on their assets in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Nancy Pelosi
- If Nancy Pelosi is the person in Congress that has the highest return on their assets in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ron Wyden
- If Ron Wyden is the person in Congress that has the highest return on their assets in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
- David Kustoff
- If David Kustoff is the person in Congress that has the highest return on their assets in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
- David Rouzer
- If David Rouzer is the person in Congress that has the highest return on their assets in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Debbie Wasserman-Schultz
- If Debbie Wasserman-Schultz is the person in Congress that has the highest return on their assets in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Morgan McGarvey
- If Morgan McGarvey is the person in Congress that has the highest return on their assets in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Larry Bucshon
- If Larry Bucshon is the person in Congress that has the highest return on their assets in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Pete Sessions
- If Pete Sessions is the person in Congress that has the highest return on their assets in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
