Will a GOP member of Congress call for Trump's impeachment?
1.0 pts (24h)One-OffPolitiquePolitique américaineÉlection2mois
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Données au 28 oct. 2026, 22:41 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Milieu du carnet sélectionné
Before Jan 20, 2029 · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Before Jan 20, 2029 54%En tête parmi 4 options
Before Jan 20, 2029 54%Qualité du marché
38 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
3,1 €
Intérêt ouvert
32,8 k $US
Intérêt ouvert élevéAchat / Vente
— / —
Before Jan 20, 2029Écart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard14 avr. 26, 14:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 15:00 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Before Jan 20, 2029
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsRègles
If any Republican member of Congress calls for the impeachment of the President of the United States before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:the United States Senatethe United States House of Representativesthe Congressional RecordThe New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalCNNFox NewsMSNBCBloomberg NewsAxiosABCCBSNBC
- Statements must be clear, unambiguous, and current. This includes any of the following: Introducing articles of impeachment (if applicable) Co-sponsoring articles of impeachment (if applicable) Voting for articles of impeachment (if applicable) Clear, unambiguous, and explicit statements supporting impeachment such as "the person supports impeachment of the President" or "the person believes the President should be impeached" Posts on official social media accounts, press releases, or legislative websites expressing that impeachment should proceed. The call for impeachment is still encompassed by the Payout Criterion even if subsequently retracted. The following do NOT qualify: Vague or implicit references that do not clearly advocate for impeachment, such as expressions of concern or dissatisfaction with presidential conduct that do not explicitly mention impeachment Statements criticizing the President's actions or policies, statements of process or neutrality, e.g., "Let's wait for the investigation" or "The House should explore impeachment" without a personal endorsement Statements contingent on future events, such as "If X happens, then I will support impeachment" or "We may need to consider impeachment if more evidence emerges" Statements made prior to Issuance, and "likes" or "retweets" on social media of other individuals calling for impeachment without additional commentary
Règles de chaque résultat
- Before Jan 20, 2029
- If any Republican member of Congress calls for the impeachment of the President of the United States before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If any Republican member of Congress calls for the impeachment of the President of the United States before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If any Republican member of Congress calls for the impeachment of the President of the United States before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If any Republican member of Congress calls for the impeachment of the President of the United States before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
