Will 5 Republican members of Congress call for Trump to resign before the end of 2026?
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Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 26 oct. 2026, 07:03 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète2 sept. 25, 22:25 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketWill Trump resign before 2027?
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Manifold MarketsRègles
If 5 or more Republican members of Congress give statements that, by my judgment, constitute a call for Trump to resign, by the end of 2025, this will resolve YES.
- Independent members of Congress caucusing with the Republicans do not count.
- Senators or Representatives.
- Current, not former (could be in lame duck session).
- Any statements from before market creation do not count.
- If Trump DOES resign (or announce he is going to resign), and 5+ Republican members of Congress release statements affirming / commending / supporting this decision, that will qualify to resolve this YES as well.