KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 97%
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
8,8 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
1.4% / 3.0%
Écart
1.6 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
9 juin 25, 17:30 UTC4 nov. 27, 14:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Kamala Harris run in the 2028 election primary?
Manifold MarketsWill Kamala Harris be elected President in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Kamala Harris be the Democratic Party Nominee for President for the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsWill Kamala Harris win the Democratic Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExWhen will Kamala Harris announce her presidential candidacy?
KalshiCalifornia Governor winner?
KalshiRègles
If Kamala Harris runs for Governorship of California before Nov 4, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:The New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBC
- Note: FEC filings alone do not resolve this market to Yes.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Marchés ouverts
Politics
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.2pt36.5%
- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt29.2%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.5%
+38 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 114,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,4 M €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance+0.4pt51%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt18%
- Tucker Carlson4%
+39 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro-4.7pt49.5%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+5.0pt48.5%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt2%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.8pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.4pt14%
+48 résultats de plus
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.7%
- Gavin Newsom14.6%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 185,9 M €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson-8.0pt71.6%
- Ulf Kristersson+9.0pt27.4%
- Ebba Busch+0.4pt1%
+7 résultats de plus
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- What will Trump say during his bilateral with the Taoiseach of Ireland?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Iowa Senate winner?
- Brazil Presidential election winner?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Kamala Harris run for California Governor? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 97% au 12 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Kamala Harris run for California Governor? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Kamala Harris run for California Governor? doit être résolu le 4 novembre 2027.
- Comment Will Kamala Harris run for California Governor? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Kamala Harris runs for Governorship of California before Nov 4, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Où Will Kamala Harris run for California Governor? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Manifold Markets.