KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 82%
Qualité du marché
42 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
19,1 €
Liquidité
2,9 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
12.0% / 18.0%
Écart
6.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
25 août 26, 16:30 UTC23 sept. 26, 04:55 UTC
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Argentina inflation rate MoM for September
KalshiSouth Africa inflation rate MoM for August
KalshiBrazil inflation rate in September
KalshiWill the annualized growth rate in Singapore Real GDP exceed -5% in Q3 2026?
ForecastExWill the annualized growth rate in Singapore Real GDP exceed 0% in Q3 2026?
ForecastExWill the annualized growth rate in Singapore Real GDP exceed -1% in Q3 2026?
ForecastExRègles
If Japan Inflation Rate YoY is above Singapore Inflation Rate YoY for August 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Only the first non-preliminary value reported for each measure will be used.
- The values will be compared as published in percent.
- A tie resolves No, and subsequent revisions will not affect resolution.
Marchés ouverts
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase78.4%
- No change20.6%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 128,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 6,5 M €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+1.0pt89%
- No-1.0pt11%
- Volume total
- 8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 95,8 k €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt84%
- September Meeting+1.0pt80%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 résultats de plus
KALSHISeptember 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core
- Headline: 0.5% or above, Core: Exactly 0.2%18%
- Headline: Exactly 0.4%, Core: 0.3% or above6%
- Headline: Exactly 0.4%, Core: 0.1% or below5%
+9 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 29 k €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETSouth Africa Annual Inflation 2026
- >5.0%+9.4pt28.2%
- 4.7-5.0%+12.5pt25.2%
- 4.4-4.7%+2.8pt23.3%
+7 résultats de plus
KALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.2%+11.0pt99%
- Above 3.0%97%
- Above 3.3%96%
+18 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 40,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 6,1 k €
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- CPI in September
- September Inflation US - Annual
- Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- PPI YoY - September 2026
- How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?
- September Inflation China - Annual
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- CPI year-over-year in Sep 2026?
- What will JD Vance say during his remarks in Olathe?
Cryptos liées
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Japan’s inflation rate be above Singapore’s in August? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 82% au 14 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Japan’s inflation rate be above Singapore’s in August? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Japan’s inflation rate be above Singapore’s in August? doit être résolu le 23 septembre 2026.
- Comment Will Japan’s inflation rate be above Singapore’s in August? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Japan Inflation Rate YoY is above Singapore Inflation Rate YoY for August 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.