KalshiFerméVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: Socialism / Socialist (98%)
Résolu: 11 sept. 2026, 13:56
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 11 sept. 2026, 13:20 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Chronologie des Probabilités
Socialism / Socialist98%
SAVE America Act / SAVE Act99%
Trump (3+ times)37%
Border79%
Tax Cut / Cut Tax79%
Election / Midterm80%
Democrat80%
Transgender1%
Immigrant / Immigration1%
Talarico1%
Supreme Court1%
Schumer1%
Shutdown / Shut Down60%
Event does not qualify1%
SAVE America Act / SAVE ActPerdu
Trump (3+ times)Perdu
BorderPerdu
Tax Cut / Cut TaxPerdu
Election / MidtermPerdu
DemocratPerdu
Socialism / SocialistGagné
TransgenderPerdu
Immigrant / ImmigrationPerdu
TalaricoPerdu
Supreme CourtPerdu
SchumerPerdu
Shutdown / Shut DownPerdu
Event does not qualifyPerdu
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Mike Johnson remain Speaker of the House through the 2026 US Midterm elections?
FutuurMike Johnson gone as House speaker before Nov 3 2026?
Manifold MarketsMike Johnson out as Speaker of the House?
KalshiWill Mike Johnson win the Louisiana 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExMike Johnson out as Speaker by which date?
PolymarketWill Mike Johnson be removed as Speaker before 2027?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Règles archivées au niveau de l'événement. Les conditions exactes de chaque résultat ne sont plus disponibles.
If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPolitico
- How this is resolved Video of the RNC Midterm Convention using the live broadcast or stream.
- If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the RNC Midterm Convention will be used.
- Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
- Mike Johnson speaking in an official capacity.