Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 89.8%
Prévisionnistes
26
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète24 nov. 25, 21:29 UTC4 nov. 26, 10:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Speaker Mike Johnson send the House members home early before midterms?
Manifold MarketsMike Johnson out as Speaker by which date?
PolymarketMike Johnson out as Speaker of the House?
KalshiWill Mike Johnson remain Speaker of the House through the 2026 US Midterm elections?
FutuurWho will be the next Republican Speaker/Minority Leader after Mike Johnson?
Manifold MarketsWill Mike Johnson be removed as Speaker before 2027?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Will Resolve YES if at any point before Nov 3 2026 Mike Johnson is no longer speaker.
- There is speculation Republican members will retire mid term and this will result in Mike Johnson no longer having a majority.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Mike Johnson gone as House speaker before Nov 3 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 90% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Mike Johnson gone as House speaker before Nov 3 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Mike Johnson gone as House speaker before Nov 3 2026? doit être résolu le 4 novembre 2026.
- Comment Mike Johnson gone as House speaker before Nov 3 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Will Resolve YES if at any point before Nov 3 2026 Mike Johnson is no longer speaker.