KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
Satellite · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Satellite 47.5%En tête parmi 18 options
Satellite 47.5%Qualité du marché
33 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
619,9 €
Intérêt ouvert
619,9 €
Intérêt ouvert faibleAchat / Vente
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SatelliteÉcart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
13 oct. 26, 18:45 UTC2 déc. 26, 15:00 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Satellite
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
What will Hailey Bieber say during NYT DealBook Summit?
KalshiWhat will Vlad Tenev say during NYT DealBook Summit?
KalshiWhat will Sam Altman say during NYT DealBook Summit?
KalshiWhat will David Ellison say during NYT DealBook Summit?
KalshiWhich words will Elon Musk say on Tesla's Q3 2026 earnings call (Oct 21)?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk say the word “misanthropic” again before the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If Elon Musk says Satellite as part of 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPolitico
- How this is resolved Video of the 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026 using the original broadcast, stream, or official video release by The New York Times. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). Elon Musk speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Satellite
- If Elon Musk says Satellite as part of 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Starbase
- If Elon Musk says Starbase as part of 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Trump
- If Elon Musk says Trump as part of 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Nvidia
- If Elon Musk says Nvidia as part of 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- OpenAI / Altman
- If Elon Musk says OpenAI / Altman as part of 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Optimus
- If Elon Musk says Optimus as part of 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Mars
- If Elon Musk says Mars as part of 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- DOGE / Department Of Government Efficiency
- If Elon Musk says DOGE / Department Of Government Efficiency as part of 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Meridian
- If Elon Musk says Meridian as part of 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Event does not qualify
- If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tesla
- If Elon Musk says Tesla as part of 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- AI / Artificial Intelligence
- If Elon Musk says AI / Artificial Intelligence as part of 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Grok
- If Elon Musk says Grok as part of 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Robotaxi / Cybercab
- If Elon Musk says Robotaxi / Cybercab as part of 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Starship
- If Elon Musk says Starship as part of 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Starlink
- If Elon Musk says Starlink as part of 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- China / Chinese
- If Elon Musk says China / Chinese as part of 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Colossus
- If Elon Musk says Colossus as part of 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.