KalshiFerméVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréCe marché s'est résolu: Above 225 (99%)
Résolu: 1 juil. 2026, 15:31
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Résultat Gagnant
Above 225
À 7 jours
—
À 24 heures
21%
SurpriseProbabilité implicite actuelleAbove 225 99%+82.0ptEn tête parmi 13 options
Qualite du marche
47 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
23,3 k €
Liquidité
884,9 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 26 jours
Obsolète25 juin 26, 17:007 juil. 26, 13:00
Chronologie des Probabilités
Above 2506%
Above 20080%
Above 22599%
Above 17584%
Above 2599%
99%
99%
10%
99%
97%
98%
Ce marché est clôturé. Le trading fictif n'est disponible que sur les marchés ouverts.
Comparer les plateformes· Above 225
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMeilleur global82% de correspondance · vérifié | Faible | 100% | — | 56,3 € | 71,5 k € | il y a 22 jours | Ouvrir → |
| KalshiCette pageLa plus active | Faible | 99% | — | 23,3 k € | 884,9 € | il y a 26 jours |
Également disponible sur Polymarket
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of June 22?
0.3 ptsFermés
Résolu
100+ (100%)
+0.3pt100%
-0.1pt0%
-0.4pt0%
+2 résultats de plus
49 • Faible qualitéSpread serréLiquidité élevée
Volume total75 k €
Volume 24h56,3 €
POLYMARKETRègles
If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 25 from Jun 22, 2026 to Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Jun 22, 2026 to Jun 28, 2026.
- The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 50 from Jun 22, 2026 to Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 from Jun 22, 2026 to Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 70 from Jun 22, 2026 to Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Marchés Associés
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/20 - 7/26)
44,2 k €Above 50: 20%KALSHI
KALSHITraffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/27 - 8/2)
6,6 k €Above 50: 29%KALSHI
KALSHI
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by which date?
2,5 M €July 31: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
678,3 k €July 18: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)
503,6 k €August 31: 71%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
104,6 k €Before Sep 1, 2026: 9%KALSHI
KALSHIActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
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Polymarket prices Hormuz traffic normalization by July 31 at 1.85% YesBlockchain.NewsRègles
If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 25 from Jun 22, 2026 to Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Jun 22, 2026 to Jun 28, 2026.
- The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 50 from Jun 22, 2026 to Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 from Jun 22, 2026 to Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 70 from Jun 22, 2026 to Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.