KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleAbove 60 15%+8.0%En tête parmi 12 options
Qualite du marche
36 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
1,8 k €
Liquidité
1,6 k €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
17.0% / 25.0%
Spread
47.1%
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
24 juil. 26, 15:004 août 26, 13:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Above 6015%
Tendance du volume
$2.1k24 juil.3j de données26 juil.
Marchés Associés
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/20 - 7/26)
36,2 k €Above 60: 7%KALSHI
KALSHI
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
2,3 M €July 18: 100%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)
743,5 k €August 31: 60%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
511,5 k €Oui: 16%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
244,8 k €Before Sep 1, 2026: 11%KALSHI
KALSHI
What will Benjamin Netanyahu say during Sunday Morning Futures?
103,1 k €Event does not qualify: 1%KALSHI
KALSHIActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
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Polymarket: US invasion of Iran odds jump to 23.5% after Jordan base claimBlockchain.News
Polymarket lifts US-Iran invasion odds to 18.5% after blockade, strikesBlockchain.NewsPolymarket: Iran regime-fall odds dip to 9.5% despite escalation reportBlockchain.NewsPolymarket sees 55.5% odds for Iran blockade end by Aug. 31 after Trump jabBlockchain.News
US freezes $131M in Iran-linked crypto as Middle East tensions riseCointelegraphRègles
If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 15 from Jul 27, 2026 to Aug 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Jul 27, 2026 to Aug 2, 2026.
- The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 20 from Jul 27, 2026 to Aug 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 25 from Jul 27, 2026 to Aug 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 30 from Jul 27, 2026 to Aug 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.