KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleAbove 60 9%-13.0%En tête parmi 10 options
Qualite du marche
73 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
35,3 k €
Liquidité
76,9 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
7.0% / 11.0%
Spread
57.1%
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 minutes
17 juil. 26, 15:0028 juil. 26, 13:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Above 609%
Tendance du volume
$40.2k17 juil.10j de données26 juil.
Marchés Associés
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/27 - 8/2)
1,6 k €Above 60: 15%KALSHI
KALSHI
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
2,3 M €July 18: 100%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)
754,4 k €August 31: 60%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
543,5 k €Oui: 24%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
242,6 k €Before Sep 1, 2026: 10%KALSHI
KALSHI
What will Benjamin Netanyahu say during Sunday Morning Futures?
103,3 k €Event does not qualify: 1%KALSHI
KALSHIActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
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Polymarket lifts US-Iran invasion odds to 18.5% after blockade, strikesBlockchain.NewsPolymarket: Iran regime-fall odds dip to 9.5% despite escalation reportBlockchain.NewsPolymarket sees 55.5% odds for Iran blockade end by Aug. 31 after Trump jabBlockchain.News
US freezes $131M in Iran-linked crypto as Middle East tensions riseCointelegraphRègles
If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 20 from Jul 20, 2026 to Jul 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Jul 20, 2026 to Jul 26, 2026.
- The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 30 from Jul 20, 2026 to Jul 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 40 from Jul 20, 2026 to Jul 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 50 from Jul 20, 2026 to Jul 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.