KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleEvent does not qualify 1%-3.0%En tête parmi 14 options
Qualite du marche
77 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
103,3 k €
Liquidité
145,9 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
- / 1.0%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 minutes
18 juil. 26, 14:083 août 26, 14:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Event does not qualify1%
Grosses transactions
$4.2k98.0%KALSHIEvent does not qualify — No-13 h
KALSHIEvent does not qualify — No-13 hTendance du volume
$117.5k18 juil.9j de données26 juil.
Marchés Associés
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
2,3 M €July 18: 100%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)
754,4 k €August 31: 60%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
543,5 k €Oui: 24%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
242,6 k €Before Sep 1, 2026: 10%KALSHI
KALSHI
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/20 - 7/26)
35,3 k €Above 60: 9%KALSHI
KALSHI
US-Iran nuclear deal?
19,5 k €Before Jan 1, 2027: 20%KALSHI
KALSHIActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
Polymarket odds: Eizenkot jumps to 46% to lead Israel PM raceBlockchain.News
Polymarket: US invasion of Iran odds jump to 23.5% after Jordan base claimBlockchain.News
Polymarket lifts US-Iran invasion odds to 18.5% after blockade, strikesBlockchain.NewsPolymarket: Iran regime-fall odds dip to 9.5% despite escalation reportBlockchain.NewsPolymarket sees 55.5% odds for Iran blockade end by Aug. 31 after Trump jabBlockchain.News
US freezes $131M in Iran-linked crypto as Middle East tensions riseCointelegraphRègles
If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Video of the Sunday Morning Futures with Maria Bartiromo will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Sunday Morning Futures with Maria Bartiromo will be used.
- Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
- Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
- For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.