PolymarketFerméVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: 100+ (100%)
Données de résolution non vérifiées
Ce résultat est inféré ou n'est pas appuyé par des preuves de règlement de niveau fournisseur.
Probabilité implicite actuelle100+ 100%+0.3ptEn tête parmi 5 options
Qualite du marche
49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
56,2 €
Liquidité
71,5 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Spread serréVariation 7j
+1.9 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 22 jours
Obsolète21 juin 26, 18:1028 juin 26, 23:59
Chronologie des Probabilités
25-491%
50-740%
100+100%
75-990%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Ce marché est clôturé. Le trading fictif n'est disponible que sur les marchés ouverts.
Comparer les plateformes· 100+
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketCette pageMeilleur global | Faible | 100% | — | 56,2 € | 71,5 k € | il y a 22 jours | |
 KalshiLa plus active82% de correspondance · vérifié | Faible | 99% | — | 23,3 k € | 884,6 € | il y a 26 jours | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Kalshi
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (6/22 - 6/28)
82.0 ptsFermés
Résolu
Above 225 (99%)
+82.0pt99%
+62.0pt99%
+97.0pt99%
+10 résultats de plus
47 • Faible qualitéSpread serréFaible liquidité
Volume total190,8 k €
Volume 24h23,3 k €
KALSHIRègles
This market will resolve according to the finalized total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from June 22, 2026, through June 28, 2026, inclusive.
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- Data for a specific date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next date's data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
- This market will resolve as soon as data has been finalized for the final date in the specified period.
- If the data for the final date of the specified period has not been finalized by the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the day on which such data is released, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$642 juil.4j de données5 juil.
Marchés Associés
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
853 k €July 18: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by which date?
745,1 k €August 31: 98%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)
557,5 k €August 31: 73%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
138,1 k €Before Sep 1, 2026: 8%KALSHI
KALSHITraffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/20 - 7/26)
29,6 k €Above 50: 19%KALSHI
KALSHI
US-Iran nuclear deal?
21,2 k €Before Aug 1, 2026: 0%KALSHI
KALSHIActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
Polymarket odds: Eizenkot jumps to 46% to lead Israel PM raceBlockchain.News
Polymarket: US invasion of Iran odds jump to 23.5% after Jordan base claimBlockchain.News
Polymarket lifts US-Iran invasion odds to 18.5% after blockade, strikesBlockchain.NewsPolymarket: Iran regime-fall odds dip to 9.5% despite escalation reportBlockchain.News
US freezes $131M in Iran-linked crypto as Middle East tensions riseCointelegraph
Polymarket prices Hormuz traffic normalization by July 31 at 1.85% YesBlockchain.NewsRègles
This market will resolve according to the finalized total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from June 22, 2026, through June 28, 2026, inclusive.
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- Data for a specific date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next date's data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
- This market will resolve as soon as data has been finalized for the final date in the specified period.
- If the data for the final date of the specified period has not been finalized by the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the day on which such data is released, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.