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Données au 17 sept. 2026, 18:40 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Before Jan 1, 2027 0%En tête parmi 3 options
Qualité du marché
46 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
—
Liquidité inconnueÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
17 sept. 26, 00:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the AI Kill Switch Act pass the US House of Representatives before Feb 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the House pass the AI Kill Switch bill in 2026?
PredictItWhen will the U.S. enact an AI kill switch law?
KalshiAI will kill everyone by mandating toxic vaccines
Manifold MarketsWill a rogue AI kill a human before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill a misaligned AI kill 1% of the world population within any 12 month period before 2035?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If federal legislation authorizing government-initiated AI shutdowns has become law after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A qualifying federal law must expressly authorize the U.S. government to initiate the shutdown, suspension, or technical disabling of an operating AI model or system to address safety or security risks or loss of control.
- The government may act directly or compel a developer, operator, or service provider to carry out the shutdown, including through a court order.
- A company-controlled kill switch alone does not qualify.
- Neither does authority limited to blocking future development or release, or a general power to regulate AI without authority to stop an operating system.
- The government need not own or physically operate the shutdown mechanism, and the authority need not be used before the deadline.
Marchés ouverts
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour When will the U.S. authorize a government AI kill switch? ?
- Kalshi cote Before Jan 1, 2027 à 0% au 17 septembre 2026.
- Quand When will the U.S. authorize a government AI kill switch? sera-t-il résolu ?
- When will the U.S. authorize a government AI kill switch? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment When will the U.S. authorize a government AI kill switch? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If federal legislation authorizing government-initiated AI shutdowns has become law after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.