PredictItVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution non vérifiéesRetail prediction exchange
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Non 100%
Méthodologie
Retail prediction exchange
Type de question
-
Volume 24h
—
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
14 sept. 26, 17:53 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
100%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
When will the U.S. enact an AI kill switch law?
KalshiWill the AI Kill Switch Act pass the US House of Representatives before Feb 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the U.S. authorize a government AI kill switch?
KalshiAI will kill everyone by mandating toxic vaccines
Manifold MarketsWhen will the House pass a reconciliation bill?
KalshiWill the House pass another reconciliation bill by which date?
PolymarketRègles
This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that, subsequent to the launch of this market on September 14, 2026, and by the End Date listed below, the House of Representatives passes H. R. 9917 or another bill with a short title containing the phrase "Kill Switch" and relating to the regulation of artificial intelligence.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
End Date: 12/31/2026 11:59 PM (ET)
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
End Date: 12/31/2026 11:59 PM (ET)
Marchés ouverts
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No-2.3pt93%
- Yes+2.3pt7%
- Volume total
- 18,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 549,7 k €
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028+7.0pt27.8%
- Before Oct 1, 2027+12.0pt25.8%
- Before Apr 1, 2027+2.0pt13.4%
+7 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+4.0pt87%
- December 15,+0.5pt84%
- November 30,+6.0pt79%
+7 résultats de plus
KALSHIWill the cap on gambling loss reduction be repealed?
- Before Jan 1, 2028+47.0pt95%
- Before Sep 1, 2027-5.0pt58%
- Before April 1, 2027+1.0pt48%
+2 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027-2.0pt87%
- Before Mar 1, 202786%
- Before Feb 1, 2027+1.0pt82%
+9 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,7 M €
KALSHIWhich companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Jersey Mike's99%
- Shein98%
- Oura-1.0pt96%
+26 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 12,1 k €
- How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Senate passes Clarity Act by which date?
- How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Holtec Nuclear IPO Closing Market Cap
- Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the House pass the AI Kill Switch bill in 2026? ?
- PredictIt cote No à 100% au 17 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the House pass the AI Kill Switch bill in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the House pass the AI Kill Switch bill in 2026? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will the House pass the AI Kill Switch bill in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- PredictIt règle ce marché comme suit : This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that, subsequent to the launch of this market on September 14, 2026, and by the End Date listed below, the House of Representatives passes H. R. 9917 or another bill with a short title containing the phrase "Kill Switch" and relating to the regulation of artificial intelligence.<br /><br />PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.<br /><br />End Date: 12/31/2026 11:59 PM (ET)