KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Oui 92%
Qualité du marché
61 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
506,7 €
Liquidité
334,3 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
91.0% / 92.0%
Écart
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
11 sept. 26, 16:00 UTC18 sept. 26, 13:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which party will lead in RCP Congressional generic ballot polling for Sept. 15?
PredictItWill there be a polling error of at least 5% in the 2026 generic ballot polling?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the generic ballot on election day 2026?
Manifold Markets2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
KalshiRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketNext French Presidential Election
PolymarketRègles
If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is above 5.8% at 10:00 AM ET on Sep 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:VoteHub
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.2pt36.5%
- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt29.2%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.5%
+38 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 114,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,4 M €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance+0.4pt51%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt18%
- Tucker Carlson4%
+39 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro-4.7pt49.5%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+5.0pt48.5%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt2%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.8pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.4pt14%
+48 résultats de plus
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.7%
- Gavin Newsom14.6%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 185,9 M €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson-8.0pt71.6%
- Ulf Kristersson+9.0pt27.4%
- Ebba Busch+0.4pt1%
+7 résultats de plus
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- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
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- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Iowa Senate winner?
- Brazil Presidential election winner?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (9/11-9/18)? ?
- Kalshi cote Yes à 92% au 12 septembre 2026.
- Quand Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (9/11-9/18)? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (9/11-9/18)? doit être résolu le 18 septembre 2026.
- Comment Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (9/11-9/18)? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is above 5.8% at 10:00 AM ET on Sep 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.