What will be the generic ballot on election day 2026?
One-OffPolitiqueÉlectionPolitique américaineÉlections de mi-mandat américaines 20269j
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleD+5.1 - D+10.0 54.7%En tête parmi 7 options
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+7.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète23 janv. 26, 05:33 UTC3 nov. 26, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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What will the generic ballot be on election day 2026, per Silver Bulletin/Nate Silver?
- [image]As of 2025-01-22, the current result would be D+5.3.
- Resolves based on https://www.natesilver.net/p/generic-ballot-average-2026-nate-silver-bulletin-congress-polls as of 00:00 Eastern Time on Tuesday, November 3, 2026, or preferably a specific number reported by Silver Bulletin as the election day generic ballot.
- Based on the "Net Support" metric.
