KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleTariff 89%-4.0ptEn tête parmi 18 options
Qualite du marche
68 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
4,6 k €
Liquidité
16,8 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
32.0% / 33.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 minutes
16 juil. 26, 22:0031 déc. 26, 15:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Gemini32%
Tendance du volume
$5.3k17 juil.12j de données28 juil.
Marchés Associés
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
16,2 k €August 31: 89%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched?
6,2 k €By Dec 31, 2025: 74%
MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSNext Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?
4,6 k €1480+: 89%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of July?
3,4 k €Anthropic: 97%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWill "PSA: Almost nobody is working on alignment" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
1,3 k €Oui: 5.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWho invades first: China (Taiwan) or U.S. (Greenland)?
1,1 k €China invades Taiwan first: 11.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
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Over 95% of Coinbase’s code is now written with AICointelegraph
DeepSeek plots $71B IPO to challenge OpenAI in global AI raceCrypto NewsRègles
If Liquid Glass is said by any Apple Inc. representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Apple Inc. earnings call (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Video of the Apple Inc. earnings call will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Apple Inc. earnings call will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract.
- The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
- Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
- Please see full rules for more details.
- If Apple Pay is said by any Apple Inc. representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Apple Inc. earnings call (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.