Probabilité implicite actuelle
Above 2.1% 98%+1.0%En tête parmi 15 options
Qualite du marche
91 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
438,3 €
Liquidité
26,5 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
98.0% / 99.0%
Spread
1.0%
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 minutes
12 mai 26, 17:0012 août 26, 12:25
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Above 2.1%98%
Comparer les plateformes· Above 2.1%
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiCette pageMeilleur global | Élevée | 98% | — | 438,3 € | 26,5 k € | il y a 17 minutes | |
 PolymarketLa plus active84% de correspondance · auto | Moyenne | 50% | — | 439,4 € | 14 k € | il y a 17 minutes | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Polymarket
Core CPI YoY - July 2026
1.0%16j
+13.0%50%
-1.0%24%
-0.3%13%
+7 résultats de plus
52 • Qualité moyenneSpread largeLiquidité moyenneAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total15,3 k €
Volume 24h439,4 €
POLYMARKETRègles
If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 2.1% in the twelve months ending July 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
- In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 2.2% in the twelve months ending July 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 2.3% in the twelve months ending July 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 2.4% in the twelve months ending July 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 2.5% in the twelve months ending July 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$4993 juil.24j de données26 juil.
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Core inflation in August 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
0 €Above 2.1%: 92%KALSHI
KALSHICore inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
0 €Above 2.1%: 3%KALSHI
KALSHICore inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
0 €Above 2.0%: 97%KALSHI
KALSHI
US economic state at the end of 2026?
1,5 k €Soft Landing: 62%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Did US Real Median Household Income Increase in 2023?
19,3 €Oui: 76.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
3,9 k €0-1%: 56%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActifs dans ces sujets
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If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 2.1% in the twelve months ending July 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
- In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 2.2% in the twelve months ending July 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 2.3% in the twelve months ending July 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 2.4% in the twelve months ending July 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 2.5% in the twelve months ending July 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.