KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Hike 1-25bps 88.9%+3.0ptEn tête parmi 5 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualite du marche
58 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
186,5 €
Liquidité
15,1 k €
Liquidité moyenneSpread
4.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 minutes
8 juil. 26, 14:002 sept. 26, 1:59
Tendances
Règles
If the Reserve Bank of New Zealand takes the action of the named outcome at September Reserve Bank of New Zealand Monetary Policy Review meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Trading Economics
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
- For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
- If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
- The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Marchés ouverts
Central Banks
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- H 0-1.0pt64.2%
- H 25-2.0pt20.2%
- C 258.3%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 7,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 7,5 k €
KALSHIBank of Japan rate decision in September
- Hike 25bps-1.0pt84.6%
- Maintain current rate11.5%
- Cut more than 25bps1.9%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 64,6 k €
KALSHINumber of Brazil rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 5 cuts57.1%
- Exactly 4 cuts+9.0pt26.1%
- 7 or more cuts+5.0pt9.2%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 64,7 k €
POLYMARKETBank of Japan Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+0.5pt86%
- No change-0.5pt13%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETBank of Korea decision in August?
- 25 bps hike-0.5pt68.6%
- No Change+6.0pt31.4%
- 50+ bps cut0%
+2 résultats de plus
KALSHIBank of England rate decision in September
- Maintain current rate91.3%
- Hike 1-25bps5.8%
- Cut more than 25bps1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 20,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?
- Bank of England decision in September?
- ECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- Fed Rate Decision (Jul 2027)
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his Jackson Hole remarks?
- Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in September?
- Bank of Canada Decision in September?
- Bank of Brazil decision in September?
- Bank of Canada Decision in October?
- Lisa Cook departure announced?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Reserve Bank of New Zealand rate decision in September ?
- Kalshi cote Hike 1-25bps à 89% au 23 août 2026.
- Quand Reserve Bank of New Zealand rate decision in September sera-t-il résolu ?
- Reserve Bank of New Zealand rate decision in September doit être résolu le 2 septembre 2026.
- Comment Reserve Bank of New Zealand rate decision in September est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the Reserve Bank of New Zealand takes the action of the named outcome at September Reserve Bank of New Zealand Monetary Policy Review meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Où Reserve Bank of New Zealand rate decision in September est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Polymarket.