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Données au 8 sept. 2026, 22:05 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Above $215,000 0%En tête parmi 7 options
Qualité du marché
36 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
—
Liquidité inconnueÉcart
5.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
29 août 26, 21:30 UTC21 mai 27, 13:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
NYC median asking rent in December 2026
KalshiDid US Real Median Household Income Increase in 2023?
Manifold MarketsWill the Zillow's Rentals Data indicate a decrease in San Francisco's median rent at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the median new home sales price exceed $410,000 in December 2026?
ForecastExWill the median new home sales price exceed $430,000 in December 2026?
ForecastExWill the median new home sales price exceed $340,000 in December 2026?
ForecastExRègles
If the the median first-year associate base salary for the largest law-firm-size category in the 2027 U.S. Associate Salary Survey is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:National Association for Law Placement
- The Underlying is the national median first-year associate base salary reported for the largest law-firm-size category in NALP’s 2027 U.S. Associate Salary Survey. “Largest law-firm-size category” means the category in NALP’s national firm-size breakdown with the highest minimum number of lawyers.
- For example, the largest category in the 2025 survey was firms with more than 700 lawyers.
- If NALP changes its firm-size categories in the 2027 survey, the largest category reported by NALP will be used.
- Resolution will use base salary only.
- Bonuses, benefits, summer-associate compensation, clerkship bonuses, total compensation, and inflation adjustments will not be considered.
Marchés ouverts
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-3.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 89,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 M €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 541,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 30,7 k €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 334,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 12,8 k €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt53.9%
- September Meeting+1.0pt46.1%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETCore CPI MoM - August 2026
- 0.2%-1.5pt51.4%
- 0.3%+4.5pt34.3%
- 0.1%-1.5pt10.5%
+4 résultats de plus
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,90081%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 77,9 k €
- Volume 24h
- 5,5 k €
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Median Big Law starting salary in 2027 ?
- Kalshi cote Above $215,000 à 0% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Median Big Law starting salary in 2027 sera-t-il résolu ?
- Median Big Law starting salary in 2027 doit être résolu le 21 mai 2027.
- Comment Median Big Law starting salary in 2027 est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the the median first-year associate base salary for the largest law-firm-size category in the 2027 U.S. Associate Salary Survey is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.