KalshiFerméVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréRéglé par le fournisseur, marché par marché
Résolu: 31 oct. 2026, 17:51
Cet événement n'a pas de gagnant unique. Le fournisseur a réglé chaque marché séparément ; chaque marché affiche son propre résultat.
Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 31 oct. 2026, 13:47 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Chronologie des Probabilités
Magnitude of at least 5.21%
Magnitude of at least 5.41%
Magnitude of at least 5.816%
Magnitude of at least 6.012%
Magnitude of at least 6.212%
Magnitude of at least 5.61%
Magnitude of at least 6.47%
Magnitude of at least 7.012%
Magnitude of at least 6.63%
Magnitude of at least 6.83%
Magnitude of at least 7.0Perdu
Magnitude of at least 6.4Perdu
Magnitude of at least 5.2Perdu
Magnitude of at least 5.4Perdu
Magnitude of at least 5.8Perdu
Magnitude of at least 6.0Perdu
Magnitude of at least 6.2Perdu
Magnitude of at least 5.6Perdu
Magnitude of at least 6.6Perdu
Magnitude of at least 6.8Perdu
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
What will the biggest earthquake be on November 1, 2026?
PolymarketWhat will the biggest earthquake be on October 31, 2026?
PolymarketWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PolymarketWill there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
KalshiDid COVID-19 come from a laboratory?
Manifold MarketsRègles
La règle exacte de ce résultat n'est pas disponible.
Règlement via:the United States Geological Survey
- The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed at Expiration, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If multiple earthquakes tie for the highest magnitude, all tied earthquakes count. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at Expiration, settlement may be delayed under the Contract contingencies.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Magnitude of at least 7.0
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 30, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 7.0 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.4
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 30, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.4 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 5.2
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 30, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.2 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 5.4
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 30, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.4 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 5.8
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 30, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.8 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.0
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 30, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.0 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.2
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 30, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.2 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 5.6
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 30, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.6 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.6
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 30, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.6 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.8
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 30, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.8 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.