KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
Magnitude of at least 6.0 · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Magnitude of at least 6.0 27.5%En tête parmi 10 options
Magnitude of at least 6.0 27.5%Qualité du marché
44 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
12 k €
Intérêt ouvert
9,1 k €
Intérêt ouvert moyenAchat / Vente
— / —
Magnitude of at least 6.0Écart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 23 minutes
13 oct. 26, 20:00 UTC14 oct. 26, 13:14 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Magnitude of at least 5.6Gagné
Avant la clôture: 99% ·
Magnitude of at least 5.2Gagné
Avant la clôture: 99% ·
Magnitude of at least 5.4Gagné
Avant la clôture: 99% ·
Magnitude of at least 5.8Gagné
Avant la clôture: 99% ·
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Magnitude of at least 6.0
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
What will the biggest earthquake be on October 13, 2026?
PolymarketWill there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
KalshiHow strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide by October 31?
PolymarketWhere will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur by end of October?
PolymarketWhere will the largest magnitude Earthquake be in 2026?
Manifold Markets8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?
KalshiRègles
If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 14, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.0 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:the United States Geological Survey
- The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed at Expiration, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If multiple earthquakes tie for the highest magnitude, all tied earthquakes count. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at Expiration, settlement may be delayed under the Contract contingencies.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Magnitude of at least 5.6
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 14, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.6 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 5.2
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 14, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.2 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 5.4
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 14, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.4 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 5.8
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 14, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.8 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.0
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 14, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.0 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.2
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 14, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.2 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.4
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 14, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.4 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.6
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 14, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.6 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.8
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 14, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.8 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 7.0
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 14, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 7.0 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.