KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Above 5.8% 91%+14.0ptEn tête parmi 9 options
Qualité du marché
71 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
18,2 k €
Liquidité
18,3 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 minutes
21 sept. 26, 16:00 UTC28 sept. 26, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketBest AI this week
KalshiAnthropic lab leak by which date?
PolymarketBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiSuperhuman mathematical problem solving before 2030, assuming no AGI yet?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If Qwen scores above 5.8% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Sep 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:OpenRouter - AI Market Share
- This event will resolve based on 10:00AM ET Monday updated market share values reported by OpenRouter, rounded to one decimal place, for the week of Sep 21, 2026.
- If the named model author’s market share is not separately identified in the source chart, including if it is included in “Others,” all markets in the event will resolve to No. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the governing benchmark.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If Qwen scores above 6.2% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Sep 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
AIKALSHIWhat will Trump say during his United Nations meetings?
- Fentanyl99%
- Zelensky99%
- Cartel99%
+38 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 369,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 368 k €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.3pt69.3%
- ChatGPT-0.3pt13.9%
- Gemini+0.1pt7.9%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 10,4 M €
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic-0.3pt99%
- OpenAI+0.3pt1%
- Meta-0.1pt0%
+18 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETTrump renames AI by September 30?
- No-24.0pt68.3%
- Yes+24.0pt31.7%
- Volume total
- 89,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 79,4 k €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,79%
- December 15,+1.0pt75%
- November 30,57%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 3,3 M €
POLYMARKETAnthropic lab leak by which date?
- June 30, 2027-4.0pt7%
- December 31, 20264%
- Volume total
- 85,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 64,4 k €
- Best AI this week
- DeepSeek market share this week
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Anthropic market share this week
- Moonshot AI share of spend on Sep 22, 2026 (Vercel)
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- OpenAI share of spend on Sep 22, 2026 (Vercel)
- OpenAI market share this week
- What will Trump say during his remarks at Xi Jinping’s state arrival?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Trump officially rename AI?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Qwen market share this week ?
- Kalshi cote Above 5.8% à 91% au 23 septembre 2026.
- Quand Qwen market share this week sera-t-il résolu ?
- Qwen market share this week doit être résolu le 28 septembre 2026.
- Comment Qwen market share this week est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Qwen scores above 5.8% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Sep 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.