KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
40.0 to 40.2 28.6%+21.0ptEn tête parmi 8 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
78 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
32,5 k €
Liquidité
26,4 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 minutes
18 sept. 26, 16:00 UTC25 sept. 26, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Trump's approval rating be higher on election day (Nov. 3, 2026) than it was in his first term (Nov. 6, 2018)?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump's approval rating increase this week? (9/18-9/25)
KalshiWhat will President Trump's RCP job approval rating be on Sept. 23?
PredictItTrump's DDHQ job approval rating on Sept. 25?
PredictItTrump approval Up or Down this week?
PolymarketTrump's approval rating (Gallup) will fall to 24% or below before the end of his second term
Manifold MarketsRègles
If the President's approval rating is the named outcome% at 11:00 AM ET on September 25, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:RealClearPolitics
- The market will determine at 11:00 AM ET on September 25, 2026.
- If the President's approval rating is between 38.8 and 39.0% at 11:00 AM ET on September 25, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President's approval rating is between 39.1 and 39.3% at 11:00 AM ET on September 25, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President's approval rating is between 39.4 and 39.6% at 11:00 AM ET on September 25, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President's approval rating is between 39.7 and 39.9% at 11:00 AM ET on September 25, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.5pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,1 Md €
- Volume 24h
- 1,8 M €
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Delcy Rodríguez+44.0pt57.4%
- Nicolás Maduro-40.9pt41.6%
- No Head of State-0.1pt1%
+13 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.1pt16%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17.9%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.8%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.7%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-1.0pt58.6%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30.3%
- Republicans sweep-0.2pt10.1%
+1 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 résultats de plus
- What will Trump say this week?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Trump's approval rating on Sep 25, 2026? ?
- Kalshi cote 40.0 to 40.2 à 29% au 20 septembre 2026.
- Quand Trump's approval rating on Sep 25, 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Trump's approval rating on Sep 25, 2026? doit être résolu le 25 septembre 2026.
- Comment Trump's approval rating on Sep 25, 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the President's approval rating is the named outcome% at 11:00 AM ET on September 25, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Où Trump's approval rating on Sep 25, 2026? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Polymarket.