KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
39.7 to 39.9 55.5%+18.0ptEn tête parmi 8 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
76 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
35,3 k €
Liquidité
82,4 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
2.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
28 août 26, 15:004 sept. 26, 15:00
Tendances
Règles
If the President's approval rating is the named outcome% at 11:00 AM ET on September 04, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:RealClearPolitics
- The market will determine at 11:00 AM ET on September 04, 2026.
- If the President's approval rating is between 38.8 and 39.0% at 11:00 AM ET on September 04, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President's approval rating is between 39.1 and 39.3% at 11:00 AM ET on September 04, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President's approval rating is between 39.4 and 39.6% at 11:00 AM ET on September 04, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President's approval rating is between 39.7 and 39.9% at 11:00 AM ET on September 04, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Marchés ouverts
Politics
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.2pt20%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+48 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,1 Md €
- Volume 24h
- 782,1 k €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.1pt36.5%
- Édouard Philippe+1.5pt30.2%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon14.6%
+38 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance-3.0pt50%
- Marco Rubio+1.3pt19%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva54.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.8pt42.6%
- Renan Santos+0.2pt2%
+16 résultats de plus
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.5%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.4%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 181,3 M €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-1.7pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.4pt13%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 résultats de plus
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Trump's approval rating on Sep 4, 2026? ?
- Kalshi cote 39.7 to 39.9 à 55% au 4 septembre 2026.
- Quand Trump's approval rating on Sep 4, 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Trump's approval rating on Sep 4, 2026? doit être résolu le 4 septembre 2026.
- Comment Trump's approval rating on Sep 4, 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the President's approval rating is the named outcome% at 11:00 AM ET on September 04, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Où Trump's approval rating on Sep 4, 2026? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Polymarket.