PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
38.5–38.9 42.9%+15.5ptEn tête parmi 6 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
57 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
1,2 k €
Liquidité
909,6 €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
28 août 26, 22:024 sept. 26, 23:59
Tendances
Règles
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.
- Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
- This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date.
- Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
- If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
- The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.).
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Kalshi — Trump's approval rating on Sep 4, 2026? · 39.7 to 39.9 54%
Marchés ouverts
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.2pt20%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+48 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,1 Md €
- Volume 24h
- 724,5 k €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance-3.0pt50%
- Marco Rubio+1.3pt19%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 résultats de plus
KALSHIWho will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
- Anna Kelly26%
- Scott Jennings+1.0pt19.2%
- Maria Bartiromo16.4%
+26 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 3,4 M €
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-1.8pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.3pt13%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 résultats de plus
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20.4%
- Ron DeSantis+0.2pt4.8%
+35 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 53,7 M €
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No+1.0pt86%
- Yes-1.0pt14%
- Volume total
- 55,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 279,1 k €
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- North Carolina Senate winner?
- California Governor winner? (Person)
- Fed Decision in October?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Trump approval rating on September 4? ?
- Polymarket cote 38.5–38.9 à 43% au 4 septembre 2026.
- Quand Trump approval rating on September 4? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Trump approval rating on September 4? doit être résolu le 4 septembre 2026.
- Comment Trump approval rating on September 4? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.
- Où Trump approval rating on September 4? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Kalshi.