How many seats will AfD win in the Saxony-Anhalt state election?
1.0 pts (24h)PolitiqueOne-OffÉlection12mois
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
38 or more 99%En tête parmi 7 options
Qualité du marché
31 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
3,4 €
Liquidité
5,9 k €
Liquidité moyenneDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
9 juil. 26, 18:50 UTC6 sept. 27, 14:00 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRègles
If Alternative for Germany (AfD) has won at least 36 seats in the 2026 Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Landeswahlausschuss Sachsen-Anhalt
- A seat is considered "won" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either: The time for legal challenges has expired Challenges have been resolved The member has taken their seat
- Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes.
- The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged.
- If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price.
- Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections.
