KalshiFerméVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: 5.63% or below (99%)
Résolu: 6 oct. 2026, 02:49
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 24 oct. 2026, 14:50 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Chronologie des Probabilités
5.55% or below86%
5.54% or below70%
5.51% or below34%
5.57% or below77%
5.48% or below54%
5.34% or below91%
5.39% or below81%
5.58% or below84%
5.41% or below56%
5.38% or below88%
5.37% or below90%
5.36% or below60%
5.35% or below90%
5.42% or below87%
5.4% or below65%
5.33% or below99%
5.32% or below99%
5.31% or below99%
5.3% or below99%
5.29% or below99%
5.28% or below0%
5.27% or below0%
5.26% or below21%
5.25% or below0%
5.24% or below23%
5.63% or belowGagné
5.62% or belowPerdu
5.61% or belowPerdu
5.59% or belowPerdu
5.58% or belowPerdu
5.56% or belowPerdu
5.54% or belowPerdu
5.53% or belowPerdu
5.52% or belowPerdu
5.51% or belowPerdu
5.49% or belowPerdu
5.46% or belowPerdu
5.44% or belowPerdu
5.33% or belowPerdu
5.32% or belowPerdu
5.31% or belowPerdu
5.3% or belowPerdu
5.29% or belowPerdu
5.5% or belowPerdu
5.48% or belowPerdu
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the 10Y US Treasury yield hit 5.50% by Oct 31, 2026?
Kalshi10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?
KalshiUS Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?
PolymarketWill the US treasury "be put on the blockchain" by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the US Treasury issue a new General License authorizing broad oil operations in Venezuela in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill US 10-year treasury yield exceed 6 percent before 2028?
Manifold MarketsActifs Sensibles au Macro
Règles
Règles archivées au niveau de l'événement. Les conditions exactes de chaque résultat ne sont plus disponibles.
If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.64% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:U.S. Department of the Treasury
- How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026.
- Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 30-year tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.
- The first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration.
- Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.
- Otherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.