GeminiKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Democratic Party 57.8%Ajusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
87,1 €
Liquidité
—
Liquidité inconnueAchat / Vente
59.0% / 60.0%
Écart
1.0 pt
Spread serréTraders
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 minutes
23 déc. 25, 16:08 UTC1 févr. 27, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which Party will win the 2026 Senate Election in Michigan
Manifold MarketsWhich Party will win the 2026 U.S. Senate Election in Oregon?
Manifold MarketsWhich Party will win the 2026 Senate Election in Virginia?
Manifold Markets2028 Republican presidential nominee
KalshiOhio Senate Election Winner
PolymarketTrump out as President before 2027?
PolymarketRègles
Which party will win the U.S. Senate in 2026?
- This contract resolves based on whether the the named outcome controls the U.S. Senate following the 2026 United States midterm elections held on Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
- Control is defined as holding the most seats in the Senate based on final, official results.
- A majority consists of at least 51 seats.
- If two parties hold the same number of seats, control is determined by which party enters government, including consideration of the Vice President’s tie-breaking role.
- Independents who formally caucus with a party are treated as members of that party.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
4 plateformes cotent actuellement ce marché. La probabilité de référence pondérée par la liquidité de CoinRithm pour Democratic Party est de 60%. Les cotations s'écartent d'environ 2 points de pourcentage entre les plateformes extrêmes.
Référence CoinRithm Democratic Party 60% · 4 plateformes · 2 pt d’ecart entre venues
- Également disponible sur Limitless — Which party will win the Senate in 2026? · Democratic Party 61%
- Également disponible sur Kalshi — Which party will win the U.S. Senate? · Democratic Party 58%
- Également disponible sur Polymarket — Which party will win the Senate in 2026? · Democratic Party 61%
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.5pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,1 Md €
- Volume 24h
- 1,8 M €
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Delcy Rodríguez+44.0pt57.4%
- Nicolás Maduro-40.9pt41.6%
- No Head of State-0.1pt1%
+13 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.1pt16%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17.9%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.8%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.7%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-1.0pt58.6%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30.3%
- Republicans sweep-0.2pt10.1%
+1 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 résultats de plus
- What will Trump say this week?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which party will win the U.S. Senate? ?
- Gemini cote Democratic Party à 58% au 20 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which party will win the U.S. Senate? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which party will win the U.S. Senate? doit être résolu le 1 février 2027.
- Comment Which party will win the U.S. Senate? est-il réglé ?
- Gemini règle ce marché comme suit : Which party will win the U.S. Senate in 2026?
- Où Which party will win the U.S. Senate? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Limitless, Kalshi, Polymarket.