GeminiKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Democratic Party 90.2%Ajusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
63 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
6,9 k €
Liquidité
—
Liquidité inconnueAchat / Vente
87.0% / 88.0%
Écart
1.0 pt
Spread serréTraders
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 minutes
23 déc. 25, 16:08 UTC1 févr. 27, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which Party will win the House popular vote in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the House in the 2026 election?
PredictItDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketVenezuela leader end of 2026?
Polymarket2028 Republican presidential nominee
KalshiRègles
Which party will win the U.S. House in 2026?
- This contract resolves based on whether the the named outcome controls the U.S. House of Representatives following the 2026 United States midterm elections held on Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
- Control is defined as holding the most seats in the House based on final, official results.
- A majority consists of at least 218 seats.
- If two parties hold the same number of seats, control is determined by which party enters government by electing the Speaker of the House.
- Independents who formally caucus with a party are treated as members of that party.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
3 plateformes cotent actuellement ce marché. La probabilité de référence pondérée par la liquidité de CoinRithm pour Democratic Party est de 91%. Les cotations s'écartent d'environ 2 points de pourcentage entre les plateformes extrêmes. Les plateformes ne s'accordent pas sur l'issue en tête.
Référence CoinRithm Democratic Party 91% · 3 plateformes · 2 pt d’ecart entre venues
- Également disponible sur PredictIt — Which party will win the House in the 2026 election? · Democratic 88%
- Également disponible sur Polymarket — Which party will win the House in 2026? · Democratic Party 92%
- Également disponible sur Limitless — Which party will win the House in 2026? · Democratic Party 93%
- Également disponible sur Kalshi — Which party will win the U.S. House? · Democratic Party 91%
Marchés ouverts
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.5pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,1 Md €
- Volume 24h
- 1,8 M €
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 20+0.7pt98%
- September 25-2.0pt90%
- September 30-2.0pt80%
+3 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Delcy Rodríguez+38.0pt53.5%
- Nicolás Maduro-38.3pt45.5%
- No Head of State-0.1pt1%
+13 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.1pt16%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-1.0pt58.6%
- D-House, R-Senate30.3%
- Republicans sweep-1.2pt10.1%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt83.2%
- Yes+1.0pt16.8%
- Volume total
- 58,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 326 k €
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which party will win the U.S. House? ?
- Gemini cote Democratic Party à 90% au 20 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which party will win the U.S. House? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which party will win the U.S. House? doit être résolu le 1 février 2027.
- Comment Which party will win the U.S. House? est-il réglé ?
- Gemini règle ce marché comme suit : Which party will win the U.S. House in 2026?
- Où Which party will win the U.S. House? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur PredictIt, Polymarket, Limitless, Kalshi.