FutuurVérifier la disponibilitéDonnées de résolution vérifiéesProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 90%
Non 90%Qualité du marché
31 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
469,5 €
Faible liquiditéTraders
7
Commentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the term Super Intelligence replace Artificial intelligence before EOY
Manifold MarketsWill generative artificial intelligence be banned in at least one G7 country by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsIn Jan 2027, Risks from Artificial Intelligence (or similar) will be on 80,000 hours top priority list
Manifold MarketsWill Time POTY 2026 be "Artificial Intelligence"?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
PolymarketRègles
This event predicts whether a new, dedicated United Nations agency focused primarily on artificial intelligence will be formally created between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be an official UN instrument creating or recognizing such an entity (e.g., a UN General Assembly resolution, a Security Council resolution, or a formal act of the UN Secretariat) that establishes a specialized intergovernmental body with a primary mandate related to global AI governance/oversight.
- If, within this period, the UN formally establishes or officially recognizes a specialized UN body whose primary mandate is AI governance/oversight worldwide, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- If the relevant UN documentation is delayed or ambiguous, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will use consistent reporting from major, editorially independent news organizations (e.g., Reuters, Associated Press) together with official UN communications.
- Resolution will reflect the substantive creation/recognition of the AI-focused UN body, not preliminary proposals, debates, or informal working groups; however, if the UN creates an explicitly temporary or preparatory body that is officially designated as the vehicle for establishing such an agency, Futuur will use its judgment to apply the market’s intent.
