FutuurVérifier la disponibilitéDonnées de résolution vérifiéesProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 93%
Non 93%Qualité du marché
32 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
820,6 €
Faible liquiditéTraders
6
Commentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 minutes
Tendances
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026?
FutuurWhich Justices will cease to be members of the US Supreme Court before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Louisiana Amendment 4 (lifetime term limit for governor) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the Republican-Democrat balance of US Supreme Court justices by the 2029 inauguration?
Manifold Markets[ACX 2026] Will the composition of the US Supreme Court change in 2026?
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FutuurRègles
This event predicts whether binding term limits for justices of the Supreme Court of the United States will be enacted at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be enacted federal legislation or constitutional amendments establishing such limits.
- If binding term limits for Supreme Court justices are enacted during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Term limits applying only to future justices, and not affecting current justices, will still count as "Yes".
- If official legal texts are ambiguous, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major U.S. legal or national news organizations.
