Which Justices will cease to be members of the US Supreme Court before the end of 2026?
US PoliticsPolitique3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleClarence Thomas 9.3%En tête parmi 9 options
Prévisionnistes
20
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète1 janv. 26, 05:43 UTC1 janv. 27, 07:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsRègles
This question resolves YES to every above-listed Justice who resigns, dies, or for any other reason officially ceases to be a member of the Supreme Court of the United States before the end of 2026 (otherwise resolving NO on 1 Jan 2027; if no Justice ceases to be a member, then all options resolve NO).
- The Justices, in-order of time on the court, along with their ages and the party that appointed them:
- the named outcome (76, Republican)
- the named outcome (70, Republican)
- the named outcome (75, Republican)
- the named outcome (70, Democrat)
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which Justices will cease to be members of the US Supreme Court before the end of 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Clarence Thomas à 9% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which Justices will cease to be members of the US Supreme Court before the end of 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which Justices will cease to be members of the US Supreme Court before the end of 2026? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Which Justices will cease to be members of the US Supreme Court before the end of 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This question resolves YES to every above-listed Justice who resigns, dies, or for any other reason officially ceases to be a member of the Supreme Court of the United States before the end of 2026 (otherwise resolving NO on 1 Jan 2027; if no Justice ceases to be a member, then all options resolve NO).