Balance of Power After the 2026 Midterms
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.ElecciónElecciones de mitad de mandato de EE. UU. 2026
SmarketsComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos verificados limitadosAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 7 oct 2026, 16:20 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Los datos de Smarkets no están disponibles temporalmente. Las cuotas mostradas son los últimos valores que recopilamos el 7 oct 2026.
Probabilidad implícita actualDemocrats Senate + Democrats House 62.9%Líder entre 5 opciones
Calidad del mercado
19 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
41,1 €
Liquidez
12,2 mil €
Liquidez mediaDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 17 días
DesactualizadoTendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiReglas
Resolves based on the official results of the 2026 United States midterm elections.
- House Control: Achieved by the party winning a strict majority of voting seats.
- Senate Control: Achieved by the party holding more than half of the voting members, or exactly half plus the tie-breaking Vice President.
- Party Affiliation: Determined by ballot listing at the time the race is called.
- Independent/unaffiliated candidates count toward the party they have most recently expressed intent to caucus with.
- Tie-Breakers (Ambiguity): House: Resolves based on the party of the first elected Speaker of the House.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
- También disponible en Polymarket — Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms · Democrats Sweep 66%
- También disponible en PredictIt — What will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2026 election? · Dem. House & Senate 65%
- También disponible en Kalshi — 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power? · Democrats sweep 64%
- También disponible en Limitless — Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms · Democrats Sweep 67%
- También disponible en Manifold Markets — What will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2026 midterms?
