Which party will lead in RCP Congressional generic ballot polling for Sept. 8?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.Elección
PredictItCerradoComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución no verificadosRetail prediction exchange
Datos de resolución no verificados: Democrats 5.5%-5.9% (99%)
Este resultado se infiere o no está respaldado por evidencia de liquidación de nivel proveedor.
Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 8 sept 2026, 15:00 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Cronología de Probabilidad
Dem<4.5%, Tie or GOP0%
Democrats 4.5%-4.9%0%
Democrats 5.0%-5.4%0%
Democrats 5.5%-5.9%99%
Democrats 6.0%-6.4%13%
Democrats 6.5%-6.9%5%
Democrats 7.0%-7.4%3%
Democrats 7.5%-7.9%2%
Democrats ≥ 8.0%0%
Democrats 5.5%-5.9%Resultado pendiente
Dem<4.5%, Tie or GOPResultado pendiente
Democrats 4.5%-4.9%Resultado pendiente
Democrats 5.0%-5.4%Resultado pendiente
Democrats 6.0%-6.4%Resultado pendiente
Democrats 6.5%-6.9%Resultado pendiente
Democrats 7.0%-7.4%Resultado pendiente
Democrats 7.5%-7.9%Resultado pendiente
Democrats ≥ 8.0%Resultado pendiente
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KalshiReglas
The contract that resolves to Yes shall identify the RealClearPolling average "2026 Generic Congressional Vote" leader and spread at the End Date listed below.
- The approval rating shall be drawn from the table of individual polls, available upon launch of this market at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/state-of-the-union/generic-congressional-vote ("the Settlement Source"), as shown on devices set to Eastern Time.
Any number displayed at the Settlement Source at the End Date other than the difference between the two parties' support (currently labelled "Spread") will be irrelevant for purposes of this market.
Should the Settlement Source be unavailable at the End Date, PredictIt will, at its sole discretion, await an update, select the most recent data point in the identified series or an alternate source, or construct its own polling average.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
End Date: 09/08/2026 11:00 AM (ET)