Will the 120th Congress Speaker be elected on the first ballot?
2.5 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.Elección1m
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 7 nov 2026, 3:42 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Punto medio del libro seleccionado
Sí · —
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Referencia guardada
Sí 93%
Sí 93%Calidad del mercado
63 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
1,7 mil €
Liquidez
16,1 mil €
Liquidez mediaInterés abierto
3,8 mil US$
Compra / Venta
— / —
SíSpread
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Comentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 52 minutos
Retrasado4 nov 26, 4:18 UTC4 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Polymarket
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- Orden mínima (participaciones):
- 5
- Incremento de precio:
- 1 puntos porcentuales
- Comisiones:
- Sí
Principales tenedores
Cargando principales tenedores
Profundidad de mercado · Sí
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KalshiReglas
The election for Speaker of the United States House of Representatives is expected to take place on January 3, 2027, on the opening day of the 120th United States Congress.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first Speaker of the House for the 120th United States Congress is elected on the first ballot.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A ballot is a roll call vote of the House to elect a Speaker, as conducted and announced by the Clerk of the House.
- Quorum calls and votes on procedural motions (such as motions to adjourn) are not ballots.
- A candidate is elected when the Clerk announces that they have received a majority of the votes cast for a person by name on that ballot.