Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?
2.5% (24h)US PoliticsOne-OffMiddle East5d
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual40+ 100%+18.1%Líder entre 7 opciones
Calidad del mercado
100 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
29,3 mil €
Liquidez
202,4 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
11.4% / 11.7%
Spread
2.6%
Spread estrechoCambio 7d
-1.9%
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 17 minutos
26 jun 26, 21:0131 jul 26, 23:59
Tendencias
100%
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
30+12%
Comparar plataformas· 40+
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketEsta páginaMejor en general | Alta | 100% | — | 29,3 mil € | 202,4 mil € | hace 17 minutos | |
| Polymarket82% de coincidencia · vinculado | Media | 100% | — | 7,4 mil € | 0 € | hace 17 días | Abrir → |
 Manifold Markets85% de coincidencia · verificado | — | 100% | — | — | — | hace 15 días | Abrir → |
También disponible en Manifold Markets
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30? [Polymarket]
Cerrados
Resuelto
40+ (100%)
100%
0%
0%
Pronóstico comunitario17 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSTambién disponible en Polymarket
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of June?
2.1%Cerrados
Resuelto
20-40 (100%)
+2.1%100%
0%
-0.3%0%
+2 resultados más
72 • Calidad mediaSpread estrechoBaja liquidez
Volumen total631,7 mil €
Volumen 24h7,4 mil €
POLYMARKETReglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any finalized daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz reported by IMF Portwatch is equal to or above the listed value for any date between market creation and July 31, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- Data for a specific date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next date's data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
- This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying figure has been finalized or once all relevant data has been finalized.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Operaciones grandes
$5.4k96.9%POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoMoonLambo1205anteayer
POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoMoonLambo1205anteayer$1.4k98.0%POLYMARKETWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoArmageddonRewardsBillyhace 7 d
POLYMARKETWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoArmageddonRewardsBillyhace 7 d$2.6k51.8%POLYMARKETWill 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoValid-Profithace 12 d
POLYMARKETWill 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoValid-Profithace 12 d$8.6k85.0%POLYMARKETWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoMoonLambo1205hace 18 d
POLYMARKETWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoMoonLambo1205hace 18 d$3.5k99.9%POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — YesDoomsday77hace 19 d
POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — YesDoomsday77hace 19 d$2.7k99.9%POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — Yes0xd677…a495hace 19 d
POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — Yes0xd677…a495hace 19 d$3.9k88.5%POLYMARKETWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoArmageddonRewardsBillyhace 21 d
POLYMARKETWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoArmageddonRewardsBillyhace 21 d$1.4k95.6%POLYMARKETNoJasonPunoshace 25 d
POLYMARKETNoJasonPunoshace 25 dTendencia de volumen
$33.4k2 jul25d de datos26 jul
Mercados Relacionados
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
543,5 mil €Sí: 24%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
368,5 mil €Gadi Eizenkot: 54%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
122,6 mil €August 31: 60%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will Trump and Netanyahu meet?
13,5 mil €Before Aug 1, 2026: 96%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?
4 mil €Blue and White: 21%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will Donald Trump visit Iran?
2,6 mil €Before Jan 1, 2027: 4%KALSHI
KALSHIActivos en estos temas
Noticias Relacionadas
Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News
White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk
Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News
White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph
Polymarket odds: Eizenkot jumps to 46% to lead Israel PM raceBlockchain.News
Polymarket: US invasion of Iran odds jump to 23.5% after Jordan base claimBlockchain.NewsReglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any finalized daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz reported by IMF Portwatch is equal to or above the listed value for any date between market creation and July 31, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- Data for a specific date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next date's data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
- This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying figure has been finalized or once all relevant data has been finalized.