Will Reps lose Senate Seat in any Trump+10 State and win in a Kamala State?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.ElecciónElecciones de mitad de mandato de EE. UU. 20263d
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 31 oct 2026, 16:40 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Punto medio del libro seleccionado
No · —
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Referencia guardada
No 61%
No 61%Calidad del mercado
36 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
4,7 €
Liquidez
24,1 mil €
Alta liquidezInterés abierto
266,3 US$
Compra / Venta
— / —
NoSpread
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Comentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado29 sept 26, 0:04 UTC4 nov 26, 4:59 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Polymarket
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- Orden mínima (participaciones):
- 5
- Incremento de precio:
- 1 puntos porcentuales
- Comisiones:
- Sí
Principales tenedores
Cargando principales tenedores
Profundidad de mercado · No
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Mercados Relacionados
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KalshiReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, in the 2026 midterm elections, Republican candidates both 1) win one or more Senate races in states won by Kamala Harris in the 2024 Presidential Election and 2) lose one or more Senate races in states won by Donald Trump with a margin of victory of 10 or more percentage points in the 2024 Presidential Election.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
- If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their office, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the person was elected.
- A candidate will be considered to be a Republican if they are the nominee of or have a ballot-listed affiliation with the Republican Party.
- Candidates who run as independents or third-party candidates will not be considered to be Republicans regardless of affiliation or caucus decisions.