Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?
5.5 pts (24h)One-OffPolíticaUS PoliticsElección1m
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
Sí 64%-5.5pt
Calidad del mercado
39 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
58,4 €
Liquidez
104,4 €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
60.0% / 68.0%
Spread
8.0 pt
Spread amplioComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
-6.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 minutos
27 may 26, 15:22 UTC3 nov 26, 0:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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ForecastExWill Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?
Manifold MarketsTexas Senate and Governor Combo
PolymarketReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, in the 2026 midterm elections, Republicans win a gubernatorial or US Senate election in any state that was won by Donald Trump in the 2024 US presidential election but was not won by Donald Trump in the 2020 election.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- All Gubernatorial elections, and all regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress, and are scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 are included.
- Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the winner, even if they take place after November 2026.
- Vacant offices for which no election or special election to fill the office is scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 will not be considered.
- Seats are attributed to the party under which the member or governor was elected.
