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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Política
  3. Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?
Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?

Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?

1.5% (24h)One-OffPolíticaUS PoliticsElección4m
PolymarketPolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
Sí
Sí 71%-0.0%
Calidad del mercado

44 / 100

Baja calidad
Volumen 24h

210,7 €

Liquidez

1,6 mil €

Baja liquidez
Compra / Venta

68.0% / 73.0%

Spread

7.3%

Spread moderado
Cambio 7d

-6.0%

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 1 minuto

27 may 26, 15:333 nov 26, 0:00

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

Yes71%

Reglas

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, in the 2026 midterm elections, Republicans win a gubernatorial or US Senate election in any state that was won by Donald Trump in the the 2024 US presidential election but was not won by Donald Trump in the 2020 election.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • This market will resolve based on the results of all elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026.
  • If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
  • For purposes of this market, the relevant states won by Donald Trump in 2024 but not in 2020 are Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Georgia, Nevada, and Arizona.
  • No other states will be considered for purposes of this market, and no disputes of any state result from 2020 or 2024 will be considered relevant.

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Activos en estos temas

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Reglas

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, in the 2026 midterm elections, Republicans win a gubernatorial or US Senate election in any state that was won by Donald Trump in the the 2024 US presidential election but was not won by Donald Trump in the 2020 election.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • This market will resolve based on the results of all elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026.
  • If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
  • For purposes of this market, the relevant states won by Donald Trump in 2024 but not in 2020 are Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Georgia, Nevada, and Arizona.
  • No other states will be considered for purposes of this market, and no disputes of any state result from 2020 or 2024 will be considered relevant.