PolymarketCerradoComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado está cerrado y esperando una resolución confirmada.
Datos de resolución no verificados
Este resultado se infiere o no está respaldado por evidencia de liquidación de nivel proveedor.
Probabilidad implícita actualDecember 31, 2026 100%Líder entre 8 opciones
Calidad del mercado
46 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
31,7 mil €
Liquidez
0 €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Spread estrechoCambio 7d
+1.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 38 días
Desactualizado10 mar 26, 22:191 ene 28, 5:00
Cronología de Probabilidad
December 31, 2027100%
June 30, 2027100%
September 30, 2026100%
June 30, 2026100%
December 31, 2026100%
September 30, 2027100%
March 31, 2027100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Este mercado ha cerrado. El trading simulado solo está disponible en mercados abiertos.
Comparar plataformas· December 31, 2026
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketEsta páginaMejor en general | Baja | 100% | — | 31,7 mil € | 0 € | hace 38 días | |
 Limitless80% de coincidencia · auto | Baja | 99% | — | 0 € | 0 € | hace 25 días | Abrir → |
También disponible en Limitless
Will o1 launch a token by ___?
Cerrados
98.6%
49.9%
0.5%
7 • Baja calidadSpread desconocidoBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo
Volumen total280,8 €
Volumen 24h0 €
LIMITLESSReglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if o1 officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable.
- Announcements alone do not qualify.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be information from o1 (https://x.com/o1_exchange), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if o1 officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable.
- Announcements alone do not qualify.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be information from o1 (https://x.com/o1_exchange), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.