KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Above $99,999.99 25%-1.0ptLíder entre 7 opciones
Calidad del mercado
80 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
5,8 mil €
Liquidez
1,1 M €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 minuto
2 ene 26, 23:00 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Reglas
If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $99999.99 starting 01/02/2026 06:00 PM and before Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:CF Benchmarks
- The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation.
- The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values.
- If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves.
- If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.
- If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $109999.99 starting 01/02/2026 06:00 PM and before Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
- También disponible en Kalshi — Bitcoin price at the end of 2026 · 75,000 to 79,999.99 11%
- También disponible en Manifold Markets — Bitcoin price in 2026? · $80K 100%
- También disponible en Polymarket — What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? · ↓ 60,000 100%