Probabilidad implícita actual
Sí 92.1%-0.5pt
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
9,9 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
92.0% / 93.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
11
Cambio 7d
-0.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 minutos
14 may 26, 21:51 UTC27 sept 26, 6:00 UTC
Tendencias
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Senate elections are scheduled to be held in France on September 27, 2026.
- The newly constituted Senate will convene following these elections to elect its President.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gérard Larcher is reelected as President of the Senate (Président du Sénat) following the 2026 French Senate elections.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- To count for resolution, Gérard Larcher must be formally elected as President of the Senate following the 2026 French Senate elections.
- Any interim or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.
