Este mercado se resolvió: Kevin Warsh (100%)
Datos de resolución no verificados
Este resultado se infiere o no está respaldado por evidencia de liquidación de nivel proveedor.
Probabilidad implícita actual
Kevin Warsh 100%Líder entre 35 opciones
Calidad del mercado
49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
4,5 M €
Liquidez
6 M €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
- / 0.1%
Cambio 7d
-0.1 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 75 días
Desactualizado4 mar 26, 20:5531 oct 26, 0:00
Cronología de Probabilidad
Kevin Warsh100%
Judy Shelton1%
Kevin Hassett0%
Christopher Waller0%
Jerome Powell0%
Stephen Miran1%
Scott Bessent0%
Other0%
Michelle Bowman0%
Person B0%
Person C0%
Person D0%
Person E0%
Person F0%
Person G0%
Person H0%
Person I0%
Person J0%
Person K0%
Person L0%
Person M0%
Person N0%
Person O0%
Person P0%
Person Q0%
Person R0%
Person S0%
Person T0%
Person U0%
Person V0%
Person W0%
Person X0%
Person Y0%
Person Z0%
Rick Reider0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Este mercado ha cerrado. El trading simulado solo está disponible en mercados abiertos.
Comparar plataformas· Kevin Warsh
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketEsta páginaMejor en general | Baja | 100% | — | 4,5 M € | 6 M € | hace 75 días | |
 Kalshi68% de coincidencia · verificado | Baja | 100% | — | 1,1 M € | 61,3 mil € | hace 75 días | Abrir → |
También disponible en Kalshi
Who will be confirmed as Fed chair?
Cerrados
Resuelto
Kevin Warsh (100%)
+0.1pt100%
0%
0%
+1 resultados más
49 • Baja calidadSpread estrechoAlta liquidez
Volumen total8,5 M €
Volumen 24h1,1 M €
KALSHIReglas
This market will resolve according to the next individual formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve.
- Formal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve.
- Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count.
- Senate confirmation of a listed individual as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
- If no Senate confirmation for the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve has occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Activos Sensibles al Macro
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Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
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Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?
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Who will be nominated as a Fed Governor in 2026?
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KALSHIWho will be the next chairman of the federal reserve board?
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This market will resolve according to the next individual formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve.
- Formal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve.
- Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count.
- Senate confirmation of a listed individual as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
- If no Senate confirmation for the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve has occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S.