PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Democratic Party 84.8%Líder entre 8 opciones
Calidad del mercado
66 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
29 €
Liquidez
22,6 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
83.0% / 84.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoCambio 7d
+0.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 minutos
25 nov 25, 19:254 nov 26, 0:00
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
0%
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Democratic Party84%
Comparar plataformas· Democratic Party
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketEsta páginaMejor en general | Media | 84% | — | 29 € | 22,6 mil € | hace 12 minutos | |
 Kalshi60% de coincidencia · verificado | Baja | 81% | — | 0 € | 26,5 mil € | hace 12 minutos | Abrir → |
También disponible en Kalshi
CA-22 House winner?
1a
80.2%
19.8%
49 • Baja calidadSpread estrechoAlta liquidez
Volumen total40,7 mil €
Volumen 24h0 €
KALSHIReglas
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-22 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Operaciones grandes
$1.8k18.0%KALSHIRandy Villegas — Nohace 7 d
KALSHIRandy Villegas — Nohace 7 dTendencia de volumen
$332 jul21d de datos27 jul
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This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-22 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.