Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualMike Thompson (D) 69.8%Líder entre 9 opciones
Pronosticadores
4
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 horas
Desactualizado23 may 26, 1:43 UTC3 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Reglas
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_California#District_4
- This resolves yes to the winner of the November election.
- This is for the general election
- Non advancers will resolve no early.
- Dashboard to find markets for other California house primaries: https://manifold.markets/news/california-house-elections-2026?r=SmFjazE
Mercados abiertos
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Who will win the CA-4 house election??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Mike Thompson (D) al 70% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Who will win the CA-4 house election??
- Está previsto que Who will win the CA-4 house election? se resuelva el 3 de noviembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Who will win the CA-4 house election??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_California#District_4