Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualMike Thompson (D) 68%+2.0ptLíder entre 9 opciones
Pronosticadores
11
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
-5.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 horas
Desactualizado23 may 26, 1:43 UTC3 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Manifold MarketsReglas
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_California#District_4
- This resolves yes to the winner of the November election.
- This is for the general election
- Non advancers will resolve no early.
- Dashboard to find markets for other California house primaries: https://manifold.markets/news/california-house-elections-2026?r=SmFjazE
